What is the watch market going to do in 2026

Luxury Watch Market in 2026: Data, History & Buzz

The luxury watch market in 2026 is all about quality, rarity and brand heat — not the “easy flip” era. Prices have normalised compared to the peak years, but the right brands and references are still showing strong demand, strong liquidity, and real long-term upside.


📈 Market Data: What the Numbers Are Saying

  • Pre-owned is now mainstream: collectors increasingly buy and sell on the secondary market, driving liquidity for the biggest names.
  • Indexes are stabilising: after the post-boom correction, broad market pricing is showing signs of recovery in key segments, with “blue-chip” pieces leading the way.
  • Value is concentrating: the market is rewarding iconic references, limited production and full-set examples (box + papers).

🕰️ A Quick History Lesson: Why Certain Brands Keep Winning

The brands that tend to perform best aren’t just popular — they’re historically significant. Think: design breakthroughs, consistent demand across decades, and a track record of collector obsession.

  • Rolex: the benchmark for global recognition and resale liquidity, with sports models becoming modern classics.
  • Patek Philippe: “blue-chip” collecting culture, long auction history, and strong demand for key families.
  • Audemars Piguet: the Royal Oak changed the game, creating an entire category of luxury sports watches.

📰 What’s Making Noise Right Now (2025–26 Buzz)

In 2026, the conversation has shifted from “What can I flip?” to “What will I still love — and what will still matter — in 10 years?” Here’s what’s driving hype:

  • Rolex secondary prices rebalancing: a more rational market is creating opportunities to buy well, especially for strong-condition pieces.
  • Patek leading the premium tier: top models continue to attract serious collector demand, with renewed strength in key references.
  • AP stepping into bigger spotlight: major industry moments and ongoing Royal Oak demand keep attention high.
  • Culture is driving collecting: younger buyers are buying watches as identity pieces — craftsmanship, design, and status — not just “investments.”

🔥 The Hype Checklist: What Usually Goes Up in Value

If you’re shopping with value in mind, these factors matter more in 2026 than ever:

  • Scarcity: limited production, discontinued references, or hard-to-get configurations
  • Icon status: designs that define a category (or an era)
  • Condition: sharp cases, clean dials, minimal polishing, and correct parts
  • Full set: box + papers can materially improve resale confidence and pricing
  • Provenance: service history, traceable ownership, and clear authenticity

Our take for 2026: The strongest “value movers” aren’t random — they’re the watches with enduring stories, consistent demand, and collector credibility.

✅ What This Means for Buyers in 2026

  • Buy what’s liquid: if you might sell or trade later, choose models with deep global demand.
  • Buy the best example you can afford: condition + completeness beat “a bargain” almost every time.
  • Think long term: the best outcomes come from owning the right watch well, not chasing short-term spikes.

Note: This article is general information only and not financial advice. Watch values can move up or down.